Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3c5644786755136ef3426a0793a45a87a30698e73d6cee0883adf8e648e8ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Elise Mertens, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 41,570$29,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,478.62 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 20,616$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.22 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Elise Mertens | 12c | 14,672$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.61 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Naomi Osaka | 67c | 13,679$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.07 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Elise Mertens | 5c | 11,375$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 10,959$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.83 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Elise Mertens | 10c | 10,270$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.8 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Naomi Osaka | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elise Mertens | 13c | 9,866$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.08 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 9,646$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.18 | 575 | 22.1%127 W · 448 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 9,112$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.72 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 6,751$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.92 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Elise Mertens | 4c | 6,016$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Elise Mertens | 12c | 4,262$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Elise Mertens | 13c | 3,353$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 3,263$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.45 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Elise Mertens | 31c | 3,097$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.11 | 327 | 37.3%122 W · 205 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 3,089$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.75 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 2,989$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Elise Mertens | 2c | 2,950$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Elise Mertens | 31c | 2,799$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.6 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Elise Mertens | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Elise Mertens | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Naomi Osaka | 68c | 2,311$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Naomi Osaka | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Elise Mertens | 12c | 1,969$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 1,743$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 1,742$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.58 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…ea2fbacked Naomi Osaka | 71c | 1,646$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Elise Mertens | 14c | 1,434$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 1,433$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.75 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Elise Mertens | 29c | 1,422$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.37 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Elise Mertens | 13c | 1,346$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Naomi Osaka | 71c | 1,339$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.79 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elise Mertens | 6c | 1,284$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elise Mertens | 31c | 1,157$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Elise Mertens | 15c | 1,128$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Elise Mertens | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 928.57$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 102 | 69.6%71 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Elise Mertens | 4c | 917.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Elise Mertens | 1c | 840.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 838$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 820.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 762.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Elise Mertens | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Elise Mertens | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Naomi Osaka | 70c | 620$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 596.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 542.32$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 515.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 510.84$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Elise Mertens | 13c | 499.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Elise Mertens | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Elise Mertens | 31c | 449.06$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 511 | 42.9%219 W · 292 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Naomi Osaka | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 407.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 385$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…06dbbacked Elise Mertens | 32c | 375.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Elise Mertens | 15c | 371.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Naomi Osaka | 73c | 358.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Naomi Osaka | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Elise Mertens | 18c | 347.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Elise Mertens | 6c | 339.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Elise Mertens | 15c | 339.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 333.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Elise Mertens | 4c | 328.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Elise Mertens | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Elise Mertens | 33c | 316.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Elise Mertens | 31c | 310$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Naomi Osaka | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Naomi Osaka | 67c | 273.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 267.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 263.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 103 | 74.8%77 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked Elise Mertens | 14c | 257.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Elise Mertens | 29c | 254.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Elise Mertens | 29c | 244.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 238.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 233.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…18d0backed Elise Mertens | 13c | 225.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…9816backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 219.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Mertens vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set 2 Winner: Mertens vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.