TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,065 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c19,965$14,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.1496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c12,296$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.382,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes35c10,684$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.3834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c4,688$3,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes21c4,508$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c2,236$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes32c1,719$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No68c798.1$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No80c771$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes2c652.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No79c615$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c596.12$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes19c562$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.783228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c536.95$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c500.01$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c422.25$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3920749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes20c405$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c399.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf1…7221backed Yes20c364.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes21c347$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes19c337$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No79c305$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0522348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes33c296.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes40c277.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes31c254.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c251.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes34c245.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ca2…4c35backed Yes33c227.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes32c220.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5711136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes16c212.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No68c196.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c194.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes20c171.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes20c171$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes21c167.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes26c159.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No77c153.47$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.35236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No67c131.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.792755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c127.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Yes28c124.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes33c122.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes14c114.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes34c102.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7614347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No79c95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.954379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes24c92.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.534847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015a…0f35backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes13c80.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.114245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c80.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1918253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c78.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Yes29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No80c65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2b…683fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c56.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No79c55.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes22c52.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6592…b6d7backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c41…117bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ad…9636backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No77c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.814835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes34c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c31.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed No65c28.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…e8d5backed No61c27.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No79c24.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.182744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No77c23.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed No69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f49…2893backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.