Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ebce1a078e88ce3b05e46d6c67f3e0b4a49b5a9ec362ec59c8ad3324c42f233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,574 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 67c | 64,650$43,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,157.72 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 65c | 64,200$41,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…f9a2backed No | 33c | 57,688$18,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,786.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 31c | 54,873$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 32c | 53,125$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 69c | 43,478$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,478.26 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 34,527$23,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,107.83 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 30,310$18,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,191.47 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 29,057$19,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.92 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 33c | 24,083$7,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,947.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 33c | 23,368$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 67c | 20,034$13,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.08 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 31c | 19,290$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 15,195$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.3 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 13,886$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 30c | 12,222$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 30c | 10,068$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 7,300$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 56c | 6,275$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.55 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 6,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 36c | 5,876$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.96 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 69c | 4,508$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 45c | 4,051$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.63 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 31c | 3,650$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.89 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 29c | 3,330$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…29e6backed Yes | 70c | 3,206$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,741$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.47 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 59c | 2,179$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.62 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 2,158$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.4 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Yes | 54c | 2,055$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 32c | 1,971$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 70c | 1,925$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 1,895$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 32c | 1,796$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.72 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 40c | 1,732$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…5f1cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 1,697$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.18 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 68c | 1,663$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 67c | 1,608$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 68c | 1,591$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.85 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 1,495$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 67c | 1,452$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 31c | 1,301$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,196$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.86 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,049$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 9c | 893.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 63c | 800$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 67c | 757.76$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 67c | 747.64$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 29c | 736.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 709$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 634.44$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 67c | 634.33$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.33 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 613.68$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 68c | 599.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…a94fbacked Yes | 35c | 599.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 29c | 597.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 50c | 597.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 28c | 596.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 43c | 550$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 43c | 537.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 53c | 533.42$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked No | 29c | 528$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 27c | 520$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 503.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 499.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 44c | 476$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 42c | 472.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Yes | 57c | 470.05$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 64c | 465.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed No | 18c | 462.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed No | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.