TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,509 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c13,183$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.2934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c8,408$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed No73c6,585$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes18c5,246$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.7596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No65c4,253$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.771850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes9c1,646$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No66c1,142$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No66c865.65$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes35c714$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.94835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…2839backed No65c610.2$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes29c510.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes11c445$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.952213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes2c442.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc190…4b5abacked Yes10c442$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes9c415.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.263228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes27c365.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes10c345$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes9c337$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes41c328.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes19c326.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No64c313.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1213946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+207.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No63c288.89$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes9c284$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.989137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes8c277.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes35c262.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0811136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfb…c968backed No73c260.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf6…8644backed Yes10c258.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes41c244.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c242.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…ffb0backed Yes9c210$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked No68c209.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes9c193$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.379353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c173.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.338617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes12c160.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.067568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Yes21c145$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5926241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4134553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c83.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5218253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2597…7b8dbacked No69c80.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes29c71.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed No68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1342…7ddebacked Yes27c65.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.214347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes28c49.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed No68c48.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Yes33c38.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c37.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed No67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No73c33.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2b…1510backed Yes32c32.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.120033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed No60c21.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.482560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No63c20.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd7…fa59backed No73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed No66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.184146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed No73c14.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x912c…f468backed No79c13.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.