Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9213956e0228d94b8bc178db2eec7c484bcf6ce5582846f87d63ca9141025a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 1,251$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.44 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 947.22$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 815.99$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 31c | 392.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 70c | 342.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 332.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 30c | 248.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 69c | 190.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 31c | 125.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f6…6b73backed Yes | 29c | 106.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 94.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 64c | 89.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 77.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…82d8backed Yes | 30c | 67.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Yes | 30c | 63.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 30c | 50.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 42.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 32.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 31c | 31.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Draw at halftime?this page
- Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?No won
- Liverpool FC leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.