Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d0bbade3b6b0d9de5b33e4f5d8c97185d402a8667906cffddff3d3e516e196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 25,096$10,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,038.47 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 14,189$9,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 40c | 13,277$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 56c | 12,935$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.54 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 56c | 12,132$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 11,919$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.57 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 11,746$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 59c | 9,420$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 44c | 6,394$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,564$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.01 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.7 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 2,802$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 40c | 2,451$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.54 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 61c | 1,820$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 1,708$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.28 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,286$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.4 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,073$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.91 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 40c | 1,058$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 825.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 801.48$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 41c | 801.41$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.58 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 23c | 793.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 32c | 749.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 30c | 718.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 711.65$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.13 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 710.43$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 31c | 644.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 643.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 621.71$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 544.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 35c | 537.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 537.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 41c | 492.07$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 40c | 488$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 40c | 403.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 34c | 391.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 59c | 376.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 323.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 302.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 23c | 291.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 58c | 271.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 44c | 270.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 42c | 265.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 27c | 251$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…1411backed Yes | 44c | 213.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 44c | 212$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…cc47backed Yes | 44c | 202.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3768…3984backed Yes | 44c | 187.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…42babacked No | 57c | 186.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…8d59backed No | 57c | 178.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…65a4backed Yes | 44c | 178.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…b2b1backed No | 57c | 173.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee34…1382backed Yes | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…f5ffbacked No | 57c | 168.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…065cbacked No | 57c | 165.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6bc1backed No | 57c | 160.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…039bbacked Yes | 44c | 157.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e23ebacked Yes | 44c | 156.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…f56ebacked No | 57c | 153.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…ad03backed No | 57c | 149.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…3cf4backed Yes | 44c | 148.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…f314backed No | 57c | 147.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…ba43backed No | 57c | 147.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 143.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 32c | 142.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…e382backed Yes | 44c | 140.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 41c | 139.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 138.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 136.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…da6fbacked Yes | 44c | 135.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Yes | 44c | 134.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fdc8backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…56b8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Yes | 40c | 124.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 122.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…e1b3backed Yes | 44c | 112.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…989bbacked Yes | 42c | 112.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4f34backed No | 59c | 109.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.