Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f232a3d9143a045dd6d8a9e846ba3ed229c1a7dcaf6ba63e8f3ca3a92014904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,619 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 10,306$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 4,892$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 3,649$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.37 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,140$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 67c | 2,964$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,586$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.1 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 2,433$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 1,631$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,598$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,167$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 1,011$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 952.75$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 652$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 624.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 569.66$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 509.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 33c | 481.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 29c | 418.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 354$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…a3a9backed Yes | 30c | 345.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 32c | 298.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 272.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 70c | 270$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 257.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 13c | 182.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 67c | 159.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +206.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed Yes | 14c | 143.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…e2aebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 139.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…5eccbacked No | 71c | 120.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 118.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 116.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…de45backed No | 71c | 113.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…523abacked No | 71c | 111.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Yes | 15c | 94.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 31c | 94.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed No | 68c | 86.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…efe4backed No | 72c | 78.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked No | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 30c | 69.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 21c | 69.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 66.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 70c | 59.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 29c | 57.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 71c | 54.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 70c | 45.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 68c | 43.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 36.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 69c | 34.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…648dbacked Yes | 33c | 33.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 27.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 68c | 23.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 70c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.