Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74c1c623b07db56ce06080dcf11183a24c8ef7ca55afdf0b9f46e1722fabc36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 9,474$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.13 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 5,545$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 69c | 3,229$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 1,730$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,311$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,025$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.78 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 468.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 370.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 31c | 326.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 69c | 299.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 276.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 199.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 184.63$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 11c | 168.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 147.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 69c | 124.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 109.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 86.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 83.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 69.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 65.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 76c | 65.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 62.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed Yes | 31c | 53.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 31c | 47.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 42.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 76c | 31.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 31.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked No | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 72c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.