TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,343 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No61c121,344$74,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,6154139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c34,500$13,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,194.9952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes37c33,683$12,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,265.7418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes40c28,135$11,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,881.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes39c26,613$10,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,353.5621144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c24,671$9,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,636.6262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No25c21,152$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,354.241,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c11,873$6,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,813.141,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No33c6,823$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes41c6,726$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.0712839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes28c6,333$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.2726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c4,785$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.3271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Yes42c4,066$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c3,656$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.9887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+282.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes41c2,943$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c2,304$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.3823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes38c2,222$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.644468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No57c1,999$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes39c1,217$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.0229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c1,122$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked No42c1,091$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No46c934.78$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c854.66$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No72c798.61$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No60c734$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.45747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes29c610.44$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.974330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No65c560.66$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.729558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes26c543$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2415649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No52c538.4$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes30c499.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.232934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed No51c484.75$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes41c450$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No48c438.97$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.854372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No64c403.49$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.54650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes39c371.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.579256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c353.69$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes30c297$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1726346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes28c223$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.371513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No65c210.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.579863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+40.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c178.9$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed No50c173.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes38c170.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7314544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No59c167.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7214247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed No60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Yes41c145.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c144.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No60c139.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed No44c137.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.151650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No63c119.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes44c103.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c101.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…67cdbacked No11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No13c90.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Yes41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No57c82.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes38c75.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.73351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No37c69.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes32c69.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.937953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes41c68.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.299346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes39c67.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.383154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No66c63.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked No60c63.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes19c63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked No48c61.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed No39c59.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes51c58.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.335356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Yes18c55.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb30…2169backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes28c44.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.042462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes57c43.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.835050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Yes41c39.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9900…ffacbacked No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…56babacked No60c36.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes41c35.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Yes48c35.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No45c31.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0615951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.935747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.