Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e57c348036aa7e99241b99f88ab1c4684e6cdef73e611d5b0f1f9b6ba97a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 3,136$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,627$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 33c | 994.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.77 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 32c | 779.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 775.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.2 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 33c | 751.71$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 748.92$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.78 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 10c | 599.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 70c | 567.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 27c | 367.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 28c | 324.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 64c | 318.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 68c | 304.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 72c | 276.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 29c | 199.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Over | 70c | 183.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…4939backed Over | 74c | 167.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 70c | 141.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 10c | 135.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 125.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 119.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 59c | 118.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 33c | 117.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 111.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Under | 45c | 109.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Over | 32c | 99.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 37c | 80.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 33c | 75.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 27c | 72.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 58c | 71.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…eb4abacked Over | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 62c | 63.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 33c | 60.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 59c | 50.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Under | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 34c | 49.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 41c | 49.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 48.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 68c | 46.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…67e1backed Over | 71c | 41.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 59c | 37.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 37.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 30c | 36.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 34.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 33.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over | 72c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 69c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 71c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.