Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e203b2a3209cf6c02eb036a4ffc6275e17165ba8b111159ce4ad4d2a53ef5ef

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under	59c	21,112$12,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,718.07	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	62c	7,719$4,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,969.94	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	205	44.9%92 W · 113 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.98	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over	49c	4,052$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	38c	3,318$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.51	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x191a…9d0dbacked Over	44c	2,237$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under	56c	1,819$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.19	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under	57c	1,745$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.57	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	43c	1,708$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.26	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	40c	1,651$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.66	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	27c	953.57$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.7	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	40c	875$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under	57c	869.67$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.96	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over	53c	716.05$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.51	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	54c	693.91$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.3	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over	44c	544.47$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.57	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	58c	505.92$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.49	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	42c	500$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	23c	499.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	44c	450.63$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.28	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	43c	396.57$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.52	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	11c	386.58$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.52	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+15.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	41c	375$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.75	385	47.8%184 W · 201 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	58c	371.06$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.67	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Over	29c	342.34$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.28	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	41c	341.76$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.12	423	47.8%202 W · 221 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	33c	300.69$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	19c	250.12$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.47	181	25.4%46 W · 135 L	-18.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	460	47.4%218 W · 242 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	46c	216.73$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	12c	215.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	37c	212.78$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.36	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Under	49c	198.25$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.11	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	51c	194.36$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	40c	180$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	28c	177.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	30c	128.05$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	319	58.3%186 W · 133 L	+26.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Under	57c	121.75$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.35	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over	17c	114.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over	44c	113.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Under	55c	111.88$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.46	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+110.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Over	29c	102.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.78	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddb…4939backed Over	25c	99.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	28c	99.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	29c	90.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	32c	88.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+14.4wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under	57c	86.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	22c	81.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	73c	71.67$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under	78c	71.22$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over	43c	70.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	43c	67.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	208	41.8%87 W · 121 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	42c	64.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	55c	63.79$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	418	54.8%229 W · 189 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	32c	56.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Under	78c	52.8$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…b82dbacked Over	38c	49.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	43c	49.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over	41c	44.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over	44c	43.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	44c	39.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x526e…a03cbacked Over	44c	39.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	59cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over	44c	38.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.35per pick	46cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	34c	38.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	52c	38.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	64c	36.28$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.93	232	44%102 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	72c	36.04$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.07	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e7…6446backed Under	75c	33.11$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	44c	30.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	111	36.9%41 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	38c	30.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	491	37.5%184 W · 307 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under	57c	30.18$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	46cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over	39c	29.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed Under	78c	26.65$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf17…c5ddbacked Under	57c	26.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ce…f240backed Over	44c	22.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Under	57c	20.88$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.98	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	56c	18.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	63c	18.84$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.01	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	73c	18.24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.93	147	52.4%77 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	17.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.94	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Cremonese won
Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Cremonese won
Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event