Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3811ddf51f035e0884c4b0f1347cbf73471f3232b451bcd5cd1adef8a77f2610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,032 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 53c | 10,589$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 7,858$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.69 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 50c | 1,459$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 989.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 79c | 985.38$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 899.51$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 834.44$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.87 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 36c | 438.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 403.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 307.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 266.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 38c | 260.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 238.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked No | 48c | 199.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 37c | 134.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 50c | 131.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 123.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 49c | 121.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 94.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 39c | 93.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 55c | 90.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 62c | 71.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed No | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 61.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Yes | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 49.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed No | 49c | 49.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 42c | 47.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 40.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 40.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…a11fbacked Yes | 47c | 36.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed No | 49c | 33.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 74c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed No | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 69c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.