Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19837aa660d59b55570415087706d88e381cccac29ad18dba3477441ed19b6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Merida Aguilarof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Michelsen | 22c | 90,212$19,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,589.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 63,754$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,753.86 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 36,625$13,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,551.35 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Alex Michelsen | 0c | 19,999$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alex Michelsen | 19c | 18,707$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.6 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 17,000$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.26 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 80c | 16,250$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 36c | 16,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,239.97 | 648 | 55.2%358 W · 290 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alex Michelsen | 20c | 15,463$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.59 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 15,174$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,928.51 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Michelsen | 13c | 13,703$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.42 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Michelsen | 41c | 12,656$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.06 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 11,790$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.55 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 9,465$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 41c | 9,300$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 29c | 8,753$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.1 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alex Michelsen | 54c | 8,488$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.11 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Alex Michelsen | 70c | 8,463$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.89 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 8,090$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.74 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.98 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 6,636$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 76c | 6,339$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.89 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 67c | 6,265$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.52 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 6,259$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 65c | 5,718$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 5,112$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 4,800$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 53c | 4,539$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 3,649$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.36 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Michelsen | 48c | 3,516$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.57 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 3,242$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 80c | 3,205$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.4 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 61c | 3,016$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.39 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 66c | 3,000$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.88 | 298 | 54%161 W · 137 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 2,885$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.96 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 67c | 2,853$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.05 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…991bbacked Alex Michelsen | 54c | 2,834$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 2,793$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.06 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…9ca2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 50c | 2,447$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 2,335$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 2,309$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.77 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Alex Michelsen | 41c | 2,238$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.21 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 2,150$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.21 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Alex Michelsen | 21c | 2,098$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Michelsen | 52c | 1,955$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.9 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Alex Michelsen | 47c | 1,877$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,650$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Alex Michelsen | 52c | 1,638$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 1,560$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.43 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 68c | 1,547$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.48 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 1,435$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.7 | 308 | 45.5%140 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 1,413$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.09 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Alex Michelsen | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 78c | 1,353$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 1,340$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 30c | 1,330$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.95 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…b0bbbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 1,325$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,320$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 62c | 1,293$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.85 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Alex Michelsen | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 1,240$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.2 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 1,230$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 80c | 1,210$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Alex Michelsen | 19c | 1,200$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 80c | 1,187$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,150$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,100$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alex Michelsen | 52c | 1,089$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.25 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 1,060$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.6 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,041$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 32c | 1,038$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alex Michelsen | 39c | 1,037$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 71c | 1,010$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Alex Michelsen | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 998.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.25 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 53c | 982.14$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 73c | 960.63$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 735 | 58.6%431 W · 304 L | -26.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 957.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 951.42$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.02 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Alex Michelsen | 46c | 937.51$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alex Michelsen | 64c | 928.82$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.43 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 819.79$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 64c | 818.5$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 80c | 810.71$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 801.38$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.01 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 771.4$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.35 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 750$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Aguilar vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs MichelsenAguilar won
- Set 2 Winner: Aguilar vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)Aguilar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.