TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Bulls, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Bulls54c36,091$19,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,489.1315952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Bulls53c15,444$8,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,185.4726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies47c14,559$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,720.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Grizzlies46c13,239$6,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.1316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Grizzlies46c9,854$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.3526648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies48c8,482$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.631,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bulls56c8,077$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies47c6,456$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.6472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Bulls53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls50c5,579$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Grizzlies46c5,217$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.3918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies49c5,183$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.291,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Bulls54c4,592$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.6713946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Bulls52c4,008$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.1616953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Grizzlies54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8405352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Grizzlies46c3,917$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.195754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies50c3,916$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies64c3,283$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls47c3,111$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Bulls52c2,285$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1882356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies45c2,020$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Bulls51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9519346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Bulls53c1,849$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies49c1,751$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7821152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies44c1,720$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies44c1,630$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…5f15backed Bulls52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies44c1,409$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Grizzlies75c1,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4714556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Grizzlies45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3312058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Grizzlies46c1,136$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.4714251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Grizzlies48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Bulls52c961.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.987236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Grizzlies48c875.3$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1611241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bulls33c873.88$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies47c851$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.031,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Grizzlies50c801.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.995354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f5…59c3backed Bulls52c761.23$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72d…449dbacked Grizzlies50c760.76$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.962166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls52c723.08$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies45c663$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.652,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Bulls47c499.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9838740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Bulls58c431.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies51c421.49$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Bulls48c417.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009443.6%41 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies42c396.64$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls53c358.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies44c340$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies47c336.17$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1732450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Grizzlies45c327.29$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls52c323.81$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Bulls36c312.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies44c308.6$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.211,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls54c300.01$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Bulls48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14438261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Bulls51c288.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.329735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bulls45c285.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls46c281.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Grizzlies59c277.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1317428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Bulls46c272.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Grizzlies46c261$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls46c248.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f1…927ebacked Bulls40c245.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.262646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies52c242.52$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls46c236.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.771,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Bulls54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7111543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Bulls53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls55c223$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Bulls46c221.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Grizzlies46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Grizzlies46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Grizzlies49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6313352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Grizzlies58c202.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Bulls51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Grizzlies46c199$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Grizzlies52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Bulls53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Grizzlies48c186.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8914145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d57…e7e6backed Grizzlies49c186$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Bulls55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bulls13c178.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca7…aecebacked Grizzlies48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Grizzlies47c174$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2222351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…9b19backed Grizzlies49c174$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls51c173.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Grizzlies47c171$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…ecc4backed Grizzlies48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.846100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+89.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…3318backed Grizzlies48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…8e5fbacked Grizzlies49c164$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Grizzlies49c163.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.855850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…bcfdbacked Grizzlies48c161$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Grizzlies47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5710940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b6…1b3cbacked Grizzlies48c148$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Bulls53c139.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadc…7575backed Grizzlies48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Bulls30c137.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.814235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8032…b106backed Grizzlies48c136$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Grizzlies49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.318744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Grizzlies47c127.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.726959.4%41 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.