TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over51c58,546$29,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,693.492661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c29,999$15,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,775.661,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c28,214$13,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,964.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c26,497$13,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,009.911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under47c25,000$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,749.9917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over53c24,795$13,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,653.6519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c23,109$11,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,323.3529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c19,329$9,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,506.71,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c7,374$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c6,939$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over51c6,545$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.8124045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c5,981$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.461,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c5,365$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c5,360$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c5,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c4,991$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.3818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c4,757$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…5f15backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over51c3,765$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.7118349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c3,676$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8381,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under49c3,627$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.275754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c3,573$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.2231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c3,363$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.892,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b51…87a5backed Over51c3,260$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c3,134$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Over52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.925036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c2,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.6114251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c2,870$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.1638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c2,751$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under66c2,528$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.0660444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over49c2,329$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.747951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,297$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.4134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c1,984$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9924535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,964$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under51c1,956$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c1,800$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87213148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under49c1,454$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.4211543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,445$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a5…4079backed Over48c1,282$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53eb…9e44backed Over48c1,276$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…4b53backed Over48c1,260$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8229…8584backed Over48c1,234$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb453…ab57backed Under49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce7…4813backed Over48c1,222$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b7…0941backed Over48c1,220$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x536b…aaadbacked Over49c1,204$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,176$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.271,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,150$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under65c1,120$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.617247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,048$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c952.72$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c939.87$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Over51c924.51$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.012055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c873.47$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under51c778.81$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c768.61$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under52c760.39$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c734.16$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over42c709.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0211235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under52c636.34$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33326048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Under51c594.37$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under50c529$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under54c490$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.63865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Under62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c466.64$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Under51c390.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c389.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c386.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under51c372$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7216845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under49c348.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under50c343$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.511453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under61c326.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c312.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under65c308.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15324955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c288$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under48c285$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c220.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.973,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c205.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under49c201.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.