TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over53c51,548$27,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,227.482661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c43,886$20,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,950.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c29,687$14,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,173.321,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over52c12,818$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.8226648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c9,150$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c6,655$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6c2…4ad2backed Over52c6,353$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f69…03febacked Over50c5,477$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd85c…cc89backed Under50c5,263$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over52c5,201$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.4848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over53c4,900$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3035547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,562$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.331,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c4,468$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.941,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…362bbacked Over50c4,229$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14bd…060ebacked Under50c4,171$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c4,160$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.7928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.578647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over52c3,769$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.325049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536b…aaadbacked Over51c3,734$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde45…e6f7backed Over50c3,711$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…f73fbacked Over50c3,619$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd35…518cbacked Under50c3,599$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6171…5a1abacked Under50c3,323$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175c…b881backed Under50c3,305$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539c…bfe3backed Over50c3,115$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d65…d87fbacked Under50c2,987$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3925…bfa9backed Over50c2,943$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb5…0b6bbacked Under50c2,893$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…6563backed Over50c2,879$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,802$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c2,780$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.3970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x960f…96c6backed Over50c2,777$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a9…74e4backed Over50c2,755$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4f…3e1fbacked Under50c2,737$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6839…02e3backed Under50c2,689$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1546…1570backed Under50c2,647$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…5f1bbacked Under50c2,627$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf310…6566backed Under50c2,605$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…e114backed Over50c2,603$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over51c2,603$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.35349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910b…c68ebacked Under50c2,577$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3b…a78dbacked Over50c2,545$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9311…1034backed Over50c2,529$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c2,523$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.1518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…826ebacked Under50c2,515$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c2,513$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.4717550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d1…4a9bbacked Under50c2,505$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca49…b3a3backed Under50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…84d5backed Under50c2,203$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…2e8fbacked Over50c2,203$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over51c2,147$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.2532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7508…c8cdbacked Under50c2,127$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a4…8f3cbacked Under50c2,111$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c2,092$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf408…1976backed Over50c2,087$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over51c2,076$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…38cebacked Over50c2,033$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec2…f266backed Over50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0101560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f6…55bbbacked Over50c1,991$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…5f15backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0818349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757e…8a5bbacked Over50c1,906$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…069ebacked Over50c1,793$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…f6e0backed Over50c1,732$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,627$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…6f96backed Under50c1,562$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3dd…78adbacked Under50c1,513$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25e…8d2dbacked Over50c1,471$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,466$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under45c1,453$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.6427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a8…caedbacked Over50c1,403$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc364…03cbbacked Under50c1,260$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d9…fc90backed Over50c1,256$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2312…19cfbacked Over50c1,254$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…e184backed Over50c1,206$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3172…ed7bbacked Over50c1,176$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,176$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over51c1,115$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.2110651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c1,091$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c91…21e3backed Under50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6114…21ddbacked Under50c1,053$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over52c1,046$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.1114940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8502…afd6backed Over50c1,034$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.734855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under31c1,020$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2120838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over51c980$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c931.36$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.391,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c890$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over62c795.44$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.172,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c662.8$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under49c551.02$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c460.24$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c458.4$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under48c429.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.399346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.