NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa032ffb441e4166de92a7f077fe7a1c7501dbb3daca47e4dc7c130136a243341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Cavaliers | 50c | 118,182$59,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,090.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Heat | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 50c | 39,539$19,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,617.11 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat | 51c | 27,300$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,850 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 51c | 21,027$10,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664.21 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 50c | 9,324$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 50c | 8,471$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,176$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…5f15backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,142$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…5613backed Cavaliers | 47c | 7,265$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…ad06backed Heat | 53c | 7,265$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,781$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 51c | 5,609$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…c831backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Heat | 50c | 5,244$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…6230backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,517$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 13c | 3,991$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…b8c0backed Heat | 53c | 3,726$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,596$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.92 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 50c | 3,582$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Heat | 50c | 3,581$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.5 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…7f34backed Heat | 53c | 3,341$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…2bf0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,003$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0541…8db9backed Heat | 52c | 2,807$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…ecccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,761$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,655$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.1 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…e517backed Heat | 52c | 2,529$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…159ebacked Heat | 52c | 2,494$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…32aabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,458$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 51c | 2,444$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…5a83backed Heat | 52c | 2,331$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,329$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…05b1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,279$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…86aebacked Heat | 52c | 2,076$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…0964backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,026$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.79 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Heat | 53c | 1,716$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.7 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…f405backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,514$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Heat | 35c | 1,408$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.96 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7459…ec0ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,402$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…ebc8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,402$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,247$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,171$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…a93ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,151$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.77 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,093$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,072$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.51 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Heat | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heat | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Heat | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Heat | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 814.2$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…3bf2backed Heat | 53c | 791$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…949abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 760$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 719.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers | 49c | 673.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.55 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Heat | 50c | 604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Heat | 51c | 599.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Heat | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heat | 50c | 518.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Heat | 51c | 516.34$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cavaliers | 51c | 488.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 34c | 477.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Heat | 53c | 459.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.79 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 49c | 404$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Cavaliers | 48c | 404$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…db89backed Heat | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…154abacked Heat | 52c | 370$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Heat | 35c | 342.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…1a76backed Cavaliers | 47c | 338$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Cavaliers | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 305.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…fa76backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Heat | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Cavaliers | 47c | 296.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.