NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0c490ca022272685d31c99cdc1fdddd1712c647682b713f5be1112f4a856b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 409,499$212,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212,868.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 102,616$49,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,353.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 48c | 85,048$40,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,224.85 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 25,052$12,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,026.91 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 49c | 12,076$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.2 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 7,669$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.78 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 49c | 6,649$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 5,622$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.56 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 49c | 5,558$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 5,504$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.04 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 5,237$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.95 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 4,494$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.91 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 4,431$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Under | 53c | 3,398$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,293$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 3,287$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.44 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 43c | 2,722$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.46 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 2,488$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 51c | 2,310$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.2 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,241$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Over | 49c | 2,204$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.04 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Over | 49c | 2,200$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.07 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 1,921$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.1 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,779$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 57c | 1,656$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.21 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,614$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.14 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Over | 48c | 1,598$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.73 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Over | 54c | 1,488$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 54c | 1,486$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.56 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.64 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 43c | 1,445$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 1,403$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.1 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 1,207$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,172$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over | 48c | 1,141$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 1,076$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.79 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Over | 49c | 977.55$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 952.87$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 56c | 779.8$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 43c | 683$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 49c | 658.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.12 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 541.95$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.81 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 43c | 538$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 61c | 531.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.07 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 524.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 47c | 492.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 487.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 59c | 466.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 50c | 463.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 414.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 404.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 57c | 399.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 53c | 385$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 383.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed Over | 65c | 345.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 49c | 326$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Over | 49c | 322.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 49c | 291.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 51c | 288.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 42c | 275.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 264.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 258.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 239.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…290cbacked Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…9d8ebacked Under | 48c | 216$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…d1fbbacked Over | 52c | 213.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…aa10backed Over | 52c | 212.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…470cbacked Over | 52c | 211.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…4fb2backed Under | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Over | 50c | 202.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…77fabacked Over | 52c | 201.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…39c4backed Over | 52c | 199.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…2953backed Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…69a5backed Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…a972backed Over | 52c | 195.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 194.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)Heat won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.