Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed5a8f583570ae7036885eb306c06ca04d7337f3491989734fced608eb6911b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 61,271$8,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,722.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Yes | 15c | 33,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 12,503$9,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 74c | 10,983$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.82 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 22c | 8,335$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.8 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 24c | 8,280$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.62 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 15c | 6,626$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 23c | 6,396$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.92 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 2,956$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 2,569$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 2,350$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.82 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,016$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.04 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 73c | 1,567$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 76c | 1,377$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…4f40backed Yes | 27c | 1,079$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…abdfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 828.16$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 20c | 660.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…abffbacked Yes | 33c | 601.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…383dbacked Yes | 3c | 576.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 33c | 545.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 15c | 524.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 19c | 514.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 16c | 481.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…fed7backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…43e6backed Yes | 15c | 453.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 440.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 439.02$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes | 22c | 437.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…9692backed Yes | 21c | 411.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 69c | 364$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Yes | 14c | 349.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 19c | 347.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 31c | 334.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…74a2backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…bec8backed Yes | 20c | 318.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 318.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Yes | 21c | 316.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 32c | 313.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 76c | 311.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 15c | 297.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 29c | 286.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…37f5backed Yes | 26c | 281.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 15c | 277.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 19c | 275.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Yes | 32c | 262.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 241.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…3adfbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 29c | 231.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…83c8backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…1c12backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 15c | 194.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…98cbbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 19c | 176.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 16c | 173.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 28c | 172$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 76c | 170.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 76c | 170.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dbd6backed Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 18c | 167.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…15a8backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.