Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbbdbd67b45fee679bd1de4b0f40079e902413c4259d152b247c6b74078a060d

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $142,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,247 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	18,658$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes	6c	15,893$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	6c	10,003$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.57	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	5c	4,385$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.39	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x899e…e8b7backed Yes	6c	3,304$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	7c	2,055$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes	6c	1,906$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.92	90	17.8%16 W · 74 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes	6c	1,810$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f87…f334backed Yes	6c	1,754$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes	6c	1,688$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes	6c	1,333$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	99	7.1%7 W · 92 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes	10c	1,113$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.02	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes	5c	1,096$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	100	5%5 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	5c	1,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	5c	987$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.13	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes	5c	948.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes	5c	921.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	919.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes	6c	877.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	19.8%23 W · 93 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Yes	5c	750$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	11c	619.05$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes	8c	588.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes	5c	588.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-80%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea13…7bc1backed Yes	8c	568.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	7c	544.52$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes	6c	540.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	224	21.9%49 W · 175 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes	6c	509.09$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	104	26%27 W · 77 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Yes	10c	499.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808c…bbd0backed Yes	10c	476.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	6c	475.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	63	3.2%2 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	10cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	5c	462.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes	5c	462.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	6c	447.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	187	23.5%44 W · 143 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfd…29a4backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes	5c	370.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	255	28.6%73 W · 182 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cd…83d5backed Yes	8c	366.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f9…59edbacked Yes	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	5c	350$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…80a3backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	31.8%34 W · 73 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa226…5b97backed Yes	6c	330$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2df2…17cfbacked Yes	10c	312.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	95	37.9%36 W · 59 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	157	27.4%43 W · 114 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb77…023ebacked Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed Yes	5c	294.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes	6c	280$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	184	17.4%32 W · 152 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked Yes	7c	276.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…d6bcbacked Yes	8c	265.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Yes	8c	261.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes	6c	258.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	118	18.6%22 W · 96 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes	5c	240$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	151	51%77 W · 74 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	6c	225$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	5c	220$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes	14c	215.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes	5c	213.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b4…004abacked Yes	7c	202.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5396…3e74backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+61%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb8…970cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed Yes	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ea…9e46backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2594…bacdbacked Yes	6c	190$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes	11c	169.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes	11c	150.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event