Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c18512264d6edfc0bc51d0e698e6a3e0095a3aa3d4b992bd632d10a55120c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Yes | 6c | 21,130$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 20,659$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 16,761$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 5,057$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,657$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 4,290$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 6c | 1,609$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…1a87backed Yes | 6c | 1,480$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 60 | 6.7%4 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,361$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 540$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 511.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 4c | 419.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 5c | 396$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 7c | 358.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…3adfbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 10c | 316.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 9c | 273.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 241.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 7c | 206$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 11c | 191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e891backed Yes | 10c | 143.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…004abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…0b24backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.