Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71504d3ee112cc0be5b218bd1c456fcb4642a932db89930d2f89c245d671a473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 12,350$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Yes | 9c | 10,361$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.65 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes | 9c | 5,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 3,524$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…2519backed Yes | 4c | 3,159$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes | 5c | 2,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 5c | 2,059$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…6295backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 6c | 1,254$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,060$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,045$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 5c | 980.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 10c | 974.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes | 8c | 790.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…412fbacked Yes | 5c | 699.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…fed7backed Yes | 8c | 617.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Yes | 8c | 597.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 7c | 586.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 547.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 6c | 538.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…4773backed Yes | 10c | 505.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes | 5c | 471.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 4c | 462.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 5c | 437$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 390.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 9c | 374.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…dacfbacked Yes | 6c | 338.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 321.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 10c | 306.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 10c | 291$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 10c | 287$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Yes | 7c | 272.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 8c | 259.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…2dafbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 8c | 243.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Yes | 6c | 222.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 5c | 198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 7c | 198$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 9c | 195$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 7c | 194.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d3…97b3backed Yes | 10c | 192.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 7c | 166.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 153.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…d815backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 11c | 131.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…a395backed Yes | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.