Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e1b0df369f18ca649b1623bb01396c2681d8fe1d94594de16365c10976a171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 19,481$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed Yes | 3c | 6,938$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 3,143$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,782$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,350$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 1,072$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 7c | 982.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed Yes | 12c | 835$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…74a2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 592.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes | 13c | 584.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 520.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 8c | 511.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 8c | 478.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…a873backed Yes | 13c | 423.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 7c | 371.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 354.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 13c | 334.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 6c | 329.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…15a8backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3e…1288backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5432…0144backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…83d5backed Yes | 9c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…0b24backed Yes | 9c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 206.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 6c | 199.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…8abebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…3eb7backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 176.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…c8dabacked Yes | 7c | 166.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…a4a8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e891backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e705backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 17c | 80.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…2803backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.