TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c74,686$9,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,195.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes11c13,332$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5212325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes7c11,250$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.514734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes12c6,970$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.62419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes23c6,787$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.3513742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No78c6,726$5,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.677331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes12c3,828$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8438817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes14c3,365$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes11c3,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34126216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c2,750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes11c2,529$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1930214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes22c2,350$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51724626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc4…8992backed Yes22c2,306$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x899e…e8b7backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200449.1%4 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Yes12c1,812$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19836024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes12c1,677$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.814020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No80c1,604$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.0724146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes12c1,467$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes10c1,438$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.492,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes11c1,418$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Yes11c1,250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.512132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c1,086$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019432.5%63 W · 131 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes10c1,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Yes14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012527.2%34 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005510.9%6 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Yes14c907.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.248243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes11c897.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes12c850$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Yes12c835$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.25228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes12c830$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.635110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes11c750.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5728626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes14c668.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes21c657.14$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes15c656.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6134330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes11c613.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2344524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Yes15c610.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.321042.4%89 W · 121 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes11c513.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.519631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea13…7bc1backed Yes18c513.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes10c501.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105738.6%22 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c474$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c451.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015936.5%58 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507910.1%8 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes12c404.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac52…1b0bbacked Yes11c370.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.722619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes22c355$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.451,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes13c351.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2834231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes12c344.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes13c309.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408431%26 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes21c295.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.019017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Yes22c281.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes11c281.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf87…2974backed Yes11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.853436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b60…4e26backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309350.5%47 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5185…da23backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011924.4%29 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa7…90febacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…8aacbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes22c231.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9658…e446backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd898…4020backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dc…40c5backed Yes11c224$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.645335.8%19 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes11c220.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831a…e8e6backed Yes14c212.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309036.7%33 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf737…37aabacked Yes19c208.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.853860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4703…2a01backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…9627backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Yes15c206.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8826…4773backed Yes25c202.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014941.6%62 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.