TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c13,451$1,172 inLost-$1,171.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c2,600$234 inLost-$2346729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes9c2,233$201 inLost-$2015916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes8c1,355$108 inLost-$108.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost-$100606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost-$10017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes8c879.06$70 inLost-$70.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes9c855.56$77 inLost-$7736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes4c771.43$31 inLost-$30.8650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c727.83$32 inLost-$31.81,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost-$5012035%42 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes9c550$50 inLost-$49.511245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Yes5c400$20 inLost-$205714%8 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost-$306266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes7c317.58$22 inLost-$22.2340515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed Yes8c300$24 inLost-$247526.7%20 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost-$2411721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04f…15a8backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost-$25375.4%2 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Yes9c255.56$23 inLost-$235330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3e…4781backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$206550.8%33 W · 32 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdfae…98cbbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$201450%7 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+113.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes9c166.67$15 inLost-$1527940.5%113 W · 166 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes8c135.43$11 inLost-$10.832,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes9c133.33$12 inLost-$121,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95bb…ebe2backed Yes9c133.33$12 inLost-$124214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes8c133$11 inLost-$10.6430214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.