TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazua

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Renata Zarazuaof Maria Timofeeva, Renata Zarazua
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10e0…c736backed Maria Timofeeva60c6,380$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8007550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Maria Timofeeva60c5,930$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.5935951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maria Timofeeva11c5,661$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.728,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Renata Zarazua54c5,030$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.146,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Maria Timofeeva48c5,000$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.74,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva21c4,280$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Renata Zarazua41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7704158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maria Timofeeva58c2,620$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.4393740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maria Timofeeva13c1,859$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.644,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Maria Timofeeva59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…6e68backed Maria Timofeeva9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+299.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Renata Zarazua41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5904440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Renata Zarazua41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.982,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Renata Zarazua73c948.71$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.484,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Maria Timofeeva11c918.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Timofeeva59c865.77$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.763,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Maria Timofeeva58c862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.961,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Timofeeva3c854.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.626,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Maria Timofeeva59c847.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Maria Timofeeva59c699.84$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2752557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Maria Timofeeva16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Renata Zarazua41c472.01$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.721,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Maria Timofeeva30c462.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.553,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Renata Zarazua70c451$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.31,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Renata Zarazua52c420.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4811963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maria Timofeeva50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maria Timofeeva17c390.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.111,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Maria Timofeeva46c386.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.581,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Maria Timofeeva14c366.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Renata Zarazua48c219.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.963,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Maria Timofeeva60c205.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.59058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a51…a98fbacked Renata Zarazua40c203.48$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.482944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Renata Zarazua40c201.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1217,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Renata Zarazua42c181$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.981,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Maria Timofeeva6c178.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.493208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Renata Zarazua41c177.61$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.791,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Maria Timofeeva58c173.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.353,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Maria Timofeeva51c166.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.125,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Renata Zarazua43c163.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2719048.4%92 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Renata Zarazua63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Renata Zarazua42c153.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8611338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Maria Timofeeva40c141.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.111,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe698…8259backed Maria Timofeeva59c130.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Renata Zarazua39c129.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0527528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Maria Timofeeva58c126.47$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Maria Timofeeva16c120.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Maria Timofeeva28c114.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Maria Timofeeva38c111.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.031,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Renata Zarazua41c107.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2339149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…0cc9backed Maria Timofeeva45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b82…2e22backed Maria Timofeeva26c97.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Maria Timofeeva59c97.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5430150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Renata Zarazua41c83.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Timofeeva51c78.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.926,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Renata Zarazua42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4367852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486b…2172backed Renata Zarazua43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Renata Zarazua59c67.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.354746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Renata Zarazua42c66.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Maria Timofeeva32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Maria Timofeeva52c61.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.191,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Renata Zarazua42c61.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Renata Zarazua65c59.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.073,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Renata Zarazua46c58.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Renata Zarazua70c57.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.341,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Renata Zarazua46c54.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.429441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Maria Timofeeva57c54.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9885449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Maria Timofeeva33c52.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Renata Zarazua41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Maria Timofeeva60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Renata Zarazua41c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Renata Zarazua56c47.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.685633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd838…96ccbacked Renata Zarazua58c45.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.314257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Maria Timofeeva35c44.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Maria Timofeeva36c44.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617857.3%102 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Maria Timofeeva59c44.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85fa…16afbacked Renata Zarazua41c43.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Maria Timofeeva59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4877…e65ebacked Renata Zarazua42c40.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Maria Timofeeva59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327853.2%148 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b1…5b57backed Maria Timofeeva59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Maria Timofeeva49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1743750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maria Timofeeva33c34.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.215,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua41c33.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c58…79f7backed Maria Timofeeva59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207764.9%50 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Maria Timofeeva59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…c150backed Renata Zarazua59c33.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Renata Zarazua76c31.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.662,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Maria Timofeeva32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Renata Zarazua75c30.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Renata Zarazua42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.48365.1%54 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48fd…d1ffbacked Maria Timofeeva60c27.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Maria Timofeeva68c27.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3715570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7534…8bb8backed Maria Timofeeva59c26.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Renata Zarazua44c24.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7245053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Maria Timofeeva47c22.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8121455.1%118 W · 96 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Renata Zarazua56c21.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Maria Timofeeva58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.639039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Renata Zarazua56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Renata Zarazua72c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.