TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a51…a98f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.21
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.98
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$55.14
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$67.51
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamartabacked Andres Santamarta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.42
Parma: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF Maanshan: Evan Zhu vs Hoyoung Rohbacked Evan Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Maanshan: Chase Ferguson vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Chase Ferguson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.64
ITF Maanshan: Yecong Mo vs Joshua Charltonbacked Yecong Mo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Royan: Lucio Ratti vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Nottingham 2: Coleman Wong vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$87.24
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham 2: Tomas Barrios vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$67.68
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$121.48
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lin Zhu vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81%+$72.93
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlandsbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$33.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.