La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda1fd02003a35b8b1aae209d3f20db4f83812465d9259a964d2b405ff441303e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,750$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.76 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,891$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.37 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,816$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,018$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 299.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 236.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…c438backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Yes | 57c | 174.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 165.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Yes | 57c | 123.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…7975backed Yes | 53c | 79.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 56.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 56c | 49.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…a98fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 56c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 5.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: UD Almería O/U 0.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: UD Almería O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.