TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x034a…e968backed Under46c4,262$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.371315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under46c3,486$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c3,397$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over55c2,370$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.54734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c1,963$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over61c1,936$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.693,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,706$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c1,428$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.463,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c1,262$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over54c1,109$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3316946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c1,063$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.633,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48313857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under45c999.92$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c785.95$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c711$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under46c704.88$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.761,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Under46c525.97$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.955843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Over56c499.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.997552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under45c464.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over57c446.37$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.41,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over55c278.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2155…eec8backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c203.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6416452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under44c203.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9917757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under8c199.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab54…da9fbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c844backed Over55c172.84$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over54c172$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c155.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.461,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c148.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032a…a9b2backed Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.155731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Under46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.47342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c139.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over54c124.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Under46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510646.2%49 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a9…97babacked Under46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Under46c108.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011549.6%57 W · 58 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc3…4141backed Under46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x670a…d845backed Over54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.381,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Over56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.863542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ba…5ba2backed Under46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a51…a98fbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under46c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over54c72.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9514458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c68.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under45c65.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b85…fbb7backed Over55c58.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.183452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Under46c51.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4712450%62 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4955942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over55c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0934526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over52c45.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a9…c44abacked Under48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229045.6%41 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x599b…4114backed Under46c45.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over75c45.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd160…ebbdbacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.865446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015651.9%81 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7db…d69cbacked Under46c43.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3631543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf9…aedebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611542.6%49 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…9dc6backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7113100%13 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c34.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under45c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.436838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.157037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…b4f5backed Over55c30.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.219245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.278531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under44c25.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca1…40a2backed Over54c25.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over55c24.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0142952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50dc…ef30backed Over55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.826152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over55c18.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1536045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.