TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2155…eec8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+144%+$64.78
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56.54
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$135
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.