TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14b9…f378backed Under41c11,328$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.586929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c9,124$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,692.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over42c7,499$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.5217040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c6,724$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over61c5,257$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.681,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over60c4,848$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…3e95backed Under40c4,289$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,960$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under42c1,866$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7513731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c1,787$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.912,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c1,588$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.982,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Over60c1,503$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over50c1,499$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46811147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over57c1,046$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.651,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c1,042$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.282,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over48c1,023$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.138530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under39c999.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under39c943.94$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1435424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over58c921.4$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over47c911.88$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Over61c884.8$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.072560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Under41c880$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.84746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x296a…125fbacked Over60c873.48$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c816.14$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c762.24$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36fd…ce8bbacked Over60c739.8$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Under42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over61c691.06$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5488…1609backed Over60c658.26$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over46c627.67$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under58c624.85$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.42,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Under40c608.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.546749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under39c608.15$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.181,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over66c599.98$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.999573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over54c560.48$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.071,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under46c542.16$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5453…b886backed Over60c515.16$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…f5d0backed Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Under40c495$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over60c492.72$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.098652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.814568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c478.9$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.198941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under53c410$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.224626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Over47c406.16$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.269033.3%30 W · 60 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over60c385.31$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.371,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over60c371.4$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under46c367.85$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.213823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c350$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.061,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under50c347.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17519742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over62c336.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.612451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over60c332.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.878542.4%36 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5837955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under55c316.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9916753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over30c294.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.29237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under52c287.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2321937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c277.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under40c247.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c244$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.093,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c229.79$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.611,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under33c228$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.792,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under28c219.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.360752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over60c219.65$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x465e…fc72backed Under40c212.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over47c211.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6220224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over48c206.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.453630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Over60c202.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.029037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over52c191.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.531,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Under41c176.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.542839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c174.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under19c172$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3f…7c06backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.679551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over30c166$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.222560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9330215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…4f65backed Over62c162.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13915.4%6 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde2…c636backed Over60c159.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…3d1dbacked Over59c158.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.92560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Under40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Over56c129.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.810347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…4acbbacked Under42c128.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.052050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Over57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5b…ffbabacked Under40c122.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.933145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under41c122.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2155…eec8backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ba…5ba2backed Under41c121.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11f…1158backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606334.9%22 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.