TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over19c11,659$2,267 inLost-$2,266.712552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over2c9,874$239 inLost-$238.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under78c2,569$2,000 inWon+$569.420262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322d…61f5backed Over10c2,544$254 inLost-$254.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c2,079$273 inLost-$273.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5706…bd5abacked Over10c1,960$196 inLost-$1961010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid+42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over21c1,889$388 inLost-$388.364740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon+$25027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c985.45$143 inLost-$142.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c934.66$132 inLost-$132.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over4c378.7$17 inLost-$16.9533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over10c345$35 inLost-$34.52,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost-$505330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7732…a330backed Over10c333$33 inLost-$33.33638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c216.05$22 inLost-$21.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over16c199.99$32 inLost-$3220325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over17c148.76$25 inLost-$24.721,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under77c142.25$110 inWon+$32.7266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c50…586dbacked Over18c108.41$20 inLost-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$1013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$104827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over19c85.99$16 inLost-$16.341,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over17c60$10 inLost-$10.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Under78c51.37$40 inWon+$11.312650%63 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$1041444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.