Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8e9375effa3cbe84bee9207461397cf7772d67214f21a07405e069a386e64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 10c | 10,565$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.89 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Over | 4c | 7,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…6e34backed Over | 11c | 3,980$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 3,912$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 3,127$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 10c | 2,750$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 2,716$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…bd5abacked Over | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 17c | 1,494$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 11c | 1,440$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 836.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 10c | 720$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 6c | 580.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Over | 10c | 570$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Over | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 11c | 440.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 367.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 11c | 365.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Over | 8c | 236.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 11c | 194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 10c | 159.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 10c | 140.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Over | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…7708backed Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 11c | 130.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…cfefbacked Over | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 9c | 121.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Over | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 18c | 110.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…596ebacked Over | 10c | 107.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…f0e5backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…70b3backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…24d1backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.