Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5f4c556dba5d3b8f840531b4a25ced9a0edc8994126c723542022965743f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 22,846$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 19c | 10,897$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.47 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 10,227$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Under | 20c | 9,495$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 19c | 9,377$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.68 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 20c | 3,790$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.96 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…4527backed Over | 80c | 3,725$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under | 20c | 2,854$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,611$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Over | 80c | 1,738$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over | 80c | 1,550$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…b0c4backed Over | 80c | 1,180$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Over | 80c | 1,016$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Over | 80c | 963.3$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 817.94$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 588.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 80c | 574.2$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…a346backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 20c | 394.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…fc72backed Over | 80c | 302.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Over | 80c | 248.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 222.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 20c | 159.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…df27backed Over | 80c | 149.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…4accbacked Over | 80c | 112.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 80c | 93.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 156 | 67.9%106 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…5c7dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…1b84backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…4d9bbacked Over | 80c | 37.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 80c | 36.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0621backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…2246backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…11bdbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…687abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…e349backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.