Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40508086e35271ab55d2d4a3b34260104c9b6f3875bda4fb41a2819e5c7b6355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 19,349$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Under | 8c | 12,003$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.28 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 8c | 8,981$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.45 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 8c | 5,876$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.1 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 3,193$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 1,447$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 10c | 1,390$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,115$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 1,024$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 9c | 1,001$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 748.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 496.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 8c | 489.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…761dbacked Under | 9c | 470.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…b409backed Under | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 128 | 18%23 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 363.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 9c | 291.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…745abacked Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…9024backed Under | 9c | 206.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 9c | 205.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 9c | 203$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 8c | 202.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Under | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 10c | 133.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 131.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 8c | 130.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.