Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3447e4ed18290eda97ad5eff3ec5de994fb3888ac8fb5c6b3203de143bf9ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,933$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 53c | 3,570$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.31 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 49c | 2,280$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.48 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 1,566$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Over | 50c | 780$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +12.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Over | 51c | 748.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.52 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 674.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 570.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 52c | 394.23$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Over | 52c | 367.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 48c | 347.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 47c | 340.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 271$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 47c | 247.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 52c | 207.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 135.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 47c | 91.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…18cfbacked Over | 52c | 60.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…1800backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…8450backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…c2fdbacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…f527backed Over | 52c | 37.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…47febacked Over | 52c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 49c | 21.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Czechia (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Czechia won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Czechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.