TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Czechiaof South Africa, Czechia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked South Africa1c11,058$100 inLost-$99.523,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Africa6c9,109$547 inLost-$546.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Africa1c8,533$68 inLost-$68.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed South Africa1c5,963$62 inLost-$6224917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed South Africa7c5,653$396 inLost-$395.724637%17 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked South Africa7c4,000$280 inLost-$28025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked South Africa2c2,429$40 inLost-$403067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked South Africa7c1,429$100 inLost-$10038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked South Africa6c878.79$53 inLost-$52.671,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked South Africa2c798$16 inLost-$15.962,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked South Africa7c714.29$50 inLost-$5019036.8%70 W · 120 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked South Africa7c571.43$40 inLost-$4054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed South Africa6c502.5$30 inLost-$30.151,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed South Africa7c428.57$30 inLost-$3012544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed South Africa7c400$28 inLost-$289237%34 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed South Africa6c400$24 inLost-$241,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed South Africa7c200$14 inLost-$146516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1905…425dbacked South Africa7c150$11 inLost-$10.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.