Spread: Czechia (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02670845f2d5fcad741f7f31942176168ed91344baf345c83383d4ca9c70ca4c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South Africaof Czechia, South Africa
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $295,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $292,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,092 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Czechia	10c	151,773$15,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,177.26	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Czechia	11c	38,108$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320.04	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Czechia	6c	10,427$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.76	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Czechia	11c	8,134$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.71	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d6…910dbacked Czechia	10c	4,999$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	30cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Czechia	11c	3,216$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.76	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Czechia	10c	3,005$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.48	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Czechia	10c	2,819$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.95	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Czechia	11c	2,750$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.98	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Czechia	11c	2,708$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.88	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Czechia	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Czechia	21c	1,399$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.89	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Czechia	15c	1,291$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.18	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Czechia	10c	1,269$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.86	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Czechia	10c	1,146$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.1	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Czechia	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.02	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Czechia	11c	973.55$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.09	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Czechia	21c	934.68$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Czechia	10c	600$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ed…0cfabacked Czechia	22c	590.91$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed South Africa	79c	571.43$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Czechia	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Czechia	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Czechia	21c	428.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed South Africa	79c	417.14$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.66	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1212…2571backed Czechia	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Czechia	10c	359.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Czechia	11c	335.21$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	98	29.6%29 W · 69 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Czechia	14c	332.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Czechia	10c	319.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Czechia	11c	285$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Czechia	18c	277.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	50%63 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0950…2380backed Czechia	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Czechia	12c	232$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	152	35.5%54 W · 98 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Czechia	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Czechia	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Czechia	18c	220.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Czechia	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Czechia	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	109	34.9%38 W · 71 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…48eabacked Czechia	12c	199.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Czechia	11c	188.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	15.6%20 W · 108 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Czechia	18c	188$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Czechia	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Czechia	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Czechia	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Czechia	19c	174.31$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.95	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81ab…f79dbacked Czechia	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40c0…b6a2backed Czechia	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Czechia	17c	142.95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	260	47.3%123 W · 137 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Czechia	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Czechia	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3a1…a667backed Czechia	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Czechia	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	172	27.3%47 W · 125 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Czechia	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Czechia	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ede…e395backed Czechia	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Czechia	11c	95.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Czechia	11c	95.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Czechia	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec6…2ad1backed Czechia	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Czechia	19c	94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4e…cf0abacked Czechia	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	36%54 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Czechia	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked South Africa	79c	79.73$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.55	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Czechia	19c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Czechia	16c	74.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	402	40%161 W · 241 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Czechia	22c	59.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Czechia	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Czechia (-2.5)this page
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 2.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa won
Spread: Czechia (-3.5)South Africa won
Spread: Czechia (-4.5)South Africa won
Spread: Czechia (-5.5)South Africa won
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Czechia won
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Czechia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Czechia (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event