Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ddd958507cf094ffee151af0f5e4f5600eea82a9fcd9c5d36fe53e46d256e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 36c | 17,168$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.61 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 37c | 9,950$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 64c | 5,491$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 38c | 3,490$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.84 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 37c | 3,422$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.25 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 63c | 3,308$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.04 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked No | 38c | 2,921$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Yes | 61c | 2,696$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 65c | 2,354$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.91 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 64c | 2,036$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.58 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 1,946$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.56 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 64c | 1,931$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.79 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 40c | 1,699$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.33 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 64c | 1,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.42 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 1,448$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.43 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 64c | 1,325$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 1,274$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.49 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 64c | 1,110$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 39c | 1,085$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.94 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.56 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 37c | 1,015$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 33c | 990.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 64c | 850.11$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.04 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 34c | 792.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.57 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 63c | 713.21$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 69c | 689.49$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.03 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 550.92$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed No | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 63c | 483.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 61c | 450$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…3053backed Yes | 64c | 449.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 38c | 433.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 37c | 429.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…193bbacked Yes | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 37c | 352.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 345.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 65c | 326.15$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…5b81backed Yes | 64c | 276.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Yes | 64c | 270.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 64c | 262.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 60c | 261.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…6d85backed Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…a060backed Yes | 64c | 240.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Yes | 62c | 230.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…22ccbacked Yes | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Yes | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…f7dabacked Yes | 63c | 204.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked No | 39c | 201.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 63c | 199.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 63c | 199$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 61c | 191.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed No | 38c | 189.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…8285backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Yes | 63c | 168.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…2841backed Yes | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…9193backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…ae5bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…6288backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…2136backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b7…1c12backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 64c | 154.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…0e2fbacked Yes | 65c | 154.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…2c44backed Yes | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 63c | 149$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Yes | 63c | 142.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…86dcbacked Yes | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 135.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 31c | 134.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes | 63c | 133.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…6120backed Yes | 63c | 129.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 63c | 129.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 62c | 117.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 64c | 116.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 38c | 108.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ali Al Hamadi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Aymen Hussein: 1+ goalsYes won
- David Møller Wolfe: 1+ assistsYes won
- David Møller Wolfe: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assistsYes won
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Meme: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.