Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a509923cf1d98a7e91b8a65778b6eb88be91a94c373a13bb5f92996c298ddb

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	68c	4,517$3,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,055.54	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed No	68c	2,882$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.96	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	32c	1,969$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.75	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	68c	1,516$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.82	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	70c	1,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.96	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	69c	1,460$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.28	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	68c	999.9$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.93	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes	33c	833.33$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.33	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	71c	786.76$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.6	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	70c	732.89$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.94	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	29c	681$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.58	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	30c	643.57$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.5	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes	32c	615.63$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.63	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	32c	596.73$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.64	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	65c	588.89$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.78	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes	33c	573.97$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.56	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	33c	500$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	69c	499.95$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.97	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes	31c	483.87$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.87	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes	32c	468.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.75	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd18…066abacked Yes	32c	468.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.75	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Yes	32c	400$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	68c	389.5$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.63	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes	31c	380$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.2	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes	31c	378.26$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes	30c	330$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	32c	310$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.8	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	33c	309.09$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.09	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	32c	308.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.87	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	32c	304.75$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.23	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes	35c	289.07$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.07	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	67c	257.3$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.82	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f58…626fbacked Yes	32c	250$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	27c	249.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.49	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2880…d888backed Yes	32c	247.16$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.16	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes	32c	234.38$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.38	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes	30c	230$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161	226	52.7%119 W · 107 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb7…9abcbacked Yes	30c	207.1$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.97	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe903…8f92backed Yes	32c	204.19$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.85	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes	31c	193.37$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.43	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No	70c	191$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.7	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e24…3053backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes	32c	155.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.49	180	40%72 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63a1…bf89backed Yes	31c	130.69$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	30cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Yes	31c	129.03$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.03	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Yes	32c	125$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed6…de52backed Yes	32c	123.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.18	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	67c	123.04$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.94	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…c8f4backed Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.21	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+11.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	69c	119.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	32c	109.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.38	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40df…affdbacked Yes	32c	109.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.14	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf9…d9b5backed Yes	32c	106.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	30c	103.33$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.33	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…3d9cbacked Yes	32c	103.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.13	77	66.2%51 W · 26 L	+9.7wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	35c	102.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.86	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9136…eec3backed Yes	30c	100.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.22	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	467	43.3%202 W · 265 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8156…d978backed Yes	33c	90.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb3…b2dcbacked Yes	33c	90.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes	31c	90.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.32	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Yes	29c	89.66$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.66	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	35c	85.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	65c	80$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c90…c649backed Yes	35c	80$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…8ec2backed Yes	32c	79.88$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.32	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd6…fa3cbacked Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.13	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Yes	29c	72.41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.41	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8595…e9cdbacked Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+244.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6985…ad13backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.67	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Yes	33c	66.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.67	172	44.8%77 W · 95 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes	28c	66$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes	31c	64.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.73	170	38.2%65 W · 105 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x745e…964bbacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	190	31.6%60 W · 130 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ac…a0fabacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	121	27.3%33 W · 88 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1653…e8e3backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+40%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d17…fa44backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb792…c49fbacked Yes	34c	59.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.56	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes	34c	58.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.49	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes	34c	58.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	91	44%40 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event