Fifa International · resolved market
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a1c197bd975ec091edf87bc8f00a8ee604495210ec62636014c1f52a68ffc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 56c | 898.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.66 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 69c | 399.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 41c | 288.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…6566backed Yes | 36c | 275.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 69c | 263.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 38c | 255.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 41c | 188$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes | 31c | 184.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 63c | 172.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 59c | 162.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 31c | 160.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 110.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 38c | 93.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 44c | 90.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed No | 45c | 88.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 76.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 45c | 44.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…5a72backed Yes | 37c | 40.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…b152backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…772dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 19.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ali Al Hamadi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Aymen Hussein: 1+ goalsYes won
- David Møller Wolfe: 1+ assistsYes won
- David Møller Wolfe: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jens Hauge: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 2+ goalsNo won
- Martin Ødegaard: 3+ shotsNo won
- Meme: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.