Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ecbb94bf7d93c74fb69b0265809fe147093217b6ec90d7d6d16f91298d59b88

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	28c	5,310$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	72c	4,390$3,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.2	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	71c	1,782$1,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.69	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes	28c	883.02$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	226	52.7%119 W · 107 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	72c	703.29$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.92	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	73c	529$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.3	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	70c	435.12$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.97	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	28c	340$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	125	35.2%44 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	33c	304.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes	35c	282.61$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…2886backed No	67c	279.55$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	72c	228.72$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.23	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No	68c	160$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes	29c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14d7…6e0dbacked Yes	22c	132.82$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	78c	107.82$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe276…b7babacked Yes	30c	100.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	63c	99.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes	27c	76.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…5a88backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-6.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No	74c	70.27$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	63c	67.82$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.09	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	54c	65$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.65	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	73c	56.86$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc32b…e139backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Yes	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb7…9a97backed Yes	57c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	73c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	72c	22.56$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	67c	20.63$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.78	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed No	72c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	114	57%65 W · 49 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event