Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60f3036e0239fb9e617376ad8680f506f945ab7354d5a504a6690c76696cf1a

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	58c	3,682$2,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.48	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes	42c	952.38$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	264	38.6%102 W · 162 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes	42c	523.81$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	57c	271.35$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	57c	257.02$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.52	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed No	59c	250$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	128	71.9%92 W · 36 L	+14.6wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6e1…c0c0backed Yes	41c	243.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	43c	191.91$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes	42c	132.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x164c…67a4backed Yes	42c	117.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	57c	106.96$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.99	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	226	52.7%119 W · 107 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes	43c	81.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	190	31.6%60 W · 130 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	58c	65.17$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	43c	51.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…5e33backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2f…4270backed Yes	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…5516backed Yes	42c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes	42c	33.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…7972backed No	59c	32.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67f9…cb5fbacked Yes	42c	28.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	72c	28.57$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	55c	23.16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	56c	22.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No	54c	21.74$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event