TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67f9…cb5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$34.39
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$46.02
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$25.71
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35%+$17.51
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$9.74
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$35.59
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$78.95
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.92
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$13.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.