TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed No51c10,596$5,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,189.0219252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0917445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes38c4,098$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.3188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39ec…06d3backed No62c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes43c1,909$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3218139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes43c1,735$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.238842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No49c1,643$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.4853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes24c1,340$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.41175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No76c1,121$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4825244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes50c1,004$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes42c816.23$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3542640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes41c796.93$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8620142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No51c762.31$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.315356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes48c608$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6412046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes48c528.16$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9519929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes48c399.23$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5387837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes31c338.16$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3816841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea8…1f9fbacked Yes51c270$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…1857backed Yes43c234.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe311…c119backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c227.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.562,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes33c222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2616540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes51c196.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5b…03a5backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…0422backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Yes42c164.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5044…ae88backed Yes51c153.23$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.514436.1%52 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No79c144.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2823644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No55c140.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1735033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No54c135.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0314839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No48c132.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.142,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes18c130.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0421517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0728554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed No49c99.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.998318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6158926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No48c90.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes34c87.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No54c83.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.413060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.87742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012336.6%45 W · 78 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes28c73.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.672718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes22c69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3611611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes16c65.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b1c4backed Yes47c63.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes29c59.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1525443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb122…b065backed Yes53c56.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No50c52.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.26246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No73c51.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9734035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.525945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7175…ae4ebacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2516549.1%81 W · 84 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23a…8518backed No49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes40c48.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9bd…b28ebacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes48c42.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.312,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes50c40.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.468043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a08…12d9backed No51c40.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…12fcbacked Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f9…cb5fbacked Yes57c38.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe358…0822backed No56c35.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e1…38debacked Yes51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No46c32.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6637644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4412752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No75c31.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9116333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0146…e924backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf47a…624cbacked Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed No55c28.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.858549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3332…2a82backed Yes53c28.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8933…dccdbacked Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed Yes52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311647.4%55 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc3…4972backed Yes51c21.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x431a…9a82backed Yes50c20.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.223855.5%132 W · 106 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac6…6cf8backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890c…db0abacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.