TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7175…ae4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Stocks at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16549.1%81 W · 84 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$36.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,850
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.46
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$5,375
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$202.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.6
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$103.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$74.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$23.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$37.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$40.85
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.02
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.72
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$75.75
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$7.71
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.15
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$17.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+52%+$85.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$25.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$45.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$43.29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$20.65
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$35.71
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$14.27
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $375?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.