Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a02899aec4b0cf06858503d895da4564633ac15f749f7bb7a61af6e19048c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 37c | 2,412$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.47 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,745$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 29c | 1,365$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 1,194$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 21c | 1,122$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 816.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 20c | 798.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 37c | 762.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 70c | 705.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…57ebbacked Yes | 38c | 679.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed Yes | 47c | 594.26$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 50c | 572.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 491.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 61c | 488.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 36c | 467.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 61c | 458.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 453.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 444.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 441.82$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…f329backed Yes | 48c | 415.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 402.52$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 398.6$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 28c | 397.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…961ebacked Yes | 79c | 393.3$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 55c | 386.67$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 355.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed No | 49c | 332.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 30c | 318.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed No | 46c | 311.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed No | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 43c | 297.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…28d6backed No | 39c | 292.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 69c | 289.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes | 71c | 279.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…3410backed Yes | 72c | 277.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…acf6backed No | 34c | 274.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 233.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 231.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 74c | 229.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…828cbacked Yes | 60c | 219.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 67c | 199.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…c5f5backed Yes | 64c | 191.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…416fbacked Yes | 72c | 190.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 38c | 184.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…75febacked Yes | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 33c | 179.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 177.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 42c | 164.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…85aabacked Yes | 79c | 162.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…ffabbacked Yes | 40c | 160.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 38c | 158.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 63c | 158.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 40c | 151.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 58c | 151.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…ae4ebacked Yes | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 70c | 143.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed Yes | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…615bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…8b13backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 58c | 140.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…95ddbacked No | 59c | 134.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…531dbacked Yes | 78c | 129.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…3363backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 40c | 126.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…4504backed Yes | 40c | 123.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…9a9cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…088fbacked Yes | 59c | 113.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Yes | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…38d5backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed Yes | 68c | 85.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 30c | 84.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…9842backed Yes | 61c | 81.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 25c | 74.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…b54dbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 52c | 72.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 63.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 40c | 63.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 56c | 60.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…624fbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 37c | 57.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 28c | 56.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.