NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d80eca2793124db7bb1bb6ba1e91a87e1df52cbd1800402798f9aa4a421163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,626,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,187,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,626,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Raptors | 34c | 461,467$155,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,054.86 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Spurs | 58c | 383,457$223,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,895.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 27c | 351,204$95,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,538.13 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 68c | 160,075$108,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,574.68 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors | 29c | 154,852$45,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,255.63 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Raptors | 32c | 151,056$48,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,698.08 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Spurs | 52c | 140,008$72,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,730.15 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 43c | 139,510$59,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,463.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 68c | 106,382$72,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,625.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 72c | 90,654$65,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,025.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Spurs | 72c | 86,934$62,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,459.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 64c | 80,835$51,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,074.17 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 67c | 75,000$50,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 66c | 72,500$47,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,650 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 29c | 69,823$20,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,462.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 69c | 50,640$34,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,734.92 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Raptors | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 68c | 49,715$33,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,058.07 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Spurs | 71c | 42,228$29,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,436.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Raptors | 32c | 39,366$12,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.49 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Raptors | 53c | 38,339$20,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,200.77 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Raptors | 60c | 33,345$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.17 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 68c | 32,695$22,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs | 71c | 31,262$22,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,065.98 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 33c | 29,631$9,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,874.49 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 38c | 28,263$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,614.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Spurs | 73c | 27,397$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Spurs | 72c | 26,841$19,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,515.34 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 69c | 26,793$18,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,401.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Raptors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 67c | 24,956$16,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,255.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Raptors | 43c | 23,075$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,856 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Raptors | 34c | 22,588$7,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671.73 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 46c | 22,500$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…0bb7backed Raptors | 35c | 22,090$7,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,731.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…1eacbacked Spurs | 65c | 22,090$14,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,730.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 36c | 21,817$7,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,792.9 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors | 30c | 21,730$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.3 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Raptors | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Spurs | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.95 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Spurs | 73c | 19,000$13,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Raptors | 27c | 19,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.98 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 38c | 18,786$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Spurs | 72c | 18,499$13,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 72c | 17,870$12,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs | 56c | 17,403$9,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.34 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs | 63c | 15,810$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.36 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Spurs | 73c | 15,453$11,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.92 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Spurs | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…168dbacked Spurs | 67c | 14,748$9,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Spurs | 71c | 14,207$10,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.03 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Spurs | 18c | 14,061$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,561.05 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 28c | 13,583$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,755.39 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 67c | 13,554$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Raptors | 28c | 13,366$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.58 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Spurs | 73c | 13,366$9,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 66c | 13,295$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.45 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 71c | 12,900$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 32c | 11,906$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.51 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Spurs | 72c | 11,583$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.33 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 59c | 10,812$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.24 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Raptors | 33c | 10,588$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.04 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 36c | 10,561$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Spurs | 49c | 10,524$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.06 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Spurs | 73c | 10,470$7,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.97 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Raptors | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors | 42c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.98 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 38c | 9,986$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs | 66c | 9,954$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.29 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 27c | 9,642$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.67 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Raptors | 27c | 8,995$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.36 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 33c | 8,740$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.29 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…a431backed Spurs | 53c | 8,493$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 68c | 8,067$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.72 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Raptors | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs | 71c | 7,731$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.13 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Raptors | 53c | 7,540$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Spurs | 71c | 7,502$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Spurs | 66c | 7,492$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.43 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 28c | 7,455$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.25 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 52c | 7,000$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Spurs | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Raptors | 27c | 6,788$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spurs | 53c | 6,707$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.26 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…4e39backed Spurs | 71c | 6,682$4,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Raptors | 28c | 6,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 67c | 6,208$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.64 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 29c | 6,150$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 61c | 6,036$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors | 27c | 6,010$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 36c | 6,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.98 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Raptors | 28c | 5,990$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.2 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Spurs | 72c | 5,972$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raptors | 10c | 5,878$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.57 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Raptors | 29c | 5,877$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.28 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Spurs | 68c | 5,844$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.95 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs | 66c | 5,798$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.48 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Raptorsthis page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.