TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c32,787$17,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,584.887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c16,097$7,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,463.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c12,503$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,751.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c5,335$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.971,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under47c4,979$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.7238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,634$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under47c4,212$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.0626648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbf…f9c9backed Over51c3,452$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c3,412$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873b…24fabacked Over50c3,011$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa06…5f5fbacked Under49c2,882$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over51c2,880$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.822648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3687…3f56backed Under49c2,688$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9679…6712backed Under49c2,536$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafdd…b7b2backed Under50c2,523$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c2,491$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c2,428$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.281,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe14b…a9ecbacked Over51c2,392$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00e…fcdebacked Over51c2,252$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc198…7a4abacked Under50c2,244$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb9…7f0abacked Under50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb8…9332backed Over50c1,888$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4316…a362backed Over50c1,822$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ac…4ebebacked Under49c1,685$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe7…1412backed Over51c1,666$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ef5…1907backed Over51c1,555$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e0…c461backed Under49c1,536$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fd…9fd6backed Over50c1,522$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4c…bcb0backed Under50c1,456$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7283100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,413$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,392$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f7…c302backed Over51c1,346$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…c07cbacked Under49c1,333$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf488…a534backed Under48c1,304$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…ff12backed Under49c1,268$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f87…b48dbacked Over51c1,255$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over54c1,161$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.6626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c979.52$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.941,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c903$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48622845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under50c707.06$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over51c704.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over52c579.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c527$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.311,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c522.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.63,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c455$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.62,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c414.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.724,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under48c394.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5122140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under51c392.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.154660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under52c370$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.621743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c359.64$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over52c269.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c232.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c223.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under47c198$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6b…edfbbacked Over51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c133.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x103d…8a7dbacked Under49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under51c113.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.655147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c69.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under47c44.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under46c37.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1250841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over44c34.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3219435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over52c28.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under56c23.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under52c21.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under77c16.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.741,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.