NBA · resolved market
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c5ba3f8d59d109f447bd8e186d718652c0e67e7e5847f609f18498e1a8b621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,630$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 72c | 1,098$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 27c | 801.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 766.23$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 52c | 554.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.62 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 73c | 540.69$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…da8dbacked Yes | 26c | 348.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 66c | 345.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 344.02$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes | 27c | 343.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Yes | 28c | 239.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…20f6backed Yes | 34c | 176.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes | 33c | 167.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 72c | 143.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…5914backed Yes | 34c | 94.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…5e40backed Yes | 32c | 86.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Yes | 25c | 80.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…2df3backed Yes | 27c | 70.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 78c | 58.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 46c | 57.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…ac5cbacked Yes | 29c | 57.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 55c | 45.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked Yes | 29c | 40.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 67c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spurs vs. RaptorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.